The scientific Council also considered “highly likely that a second epidemic wave is observed in the fall or winter.”
“The balance is fragile and we can switch at any time” toward a return to uncontrolled epidemic of Covid-19 in France, warned this Tuesday by the scientific Council in a new opinion made public. “The future of the epidemic in the short-term is largely in the hands of citizens”, warns the instance. And, beyond the situation this summer, the scientific Council still thinks it is “highly likely that a second epidemic wave is observed in the fall or winter.”
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“France is in a controlled situation, but fragile, with a resurgence of the circulation of the virus this summer,” wrote the scientific Council in the introduction of this notice entitled “prepare now to anticipate a return of the virus in the autumn”. “The virus circulates more actively, with a loss accentuated measures of distance and measures barrier : the balance is fragile and we can switch at any time in a scenario less controlled as in Spain, for example,” he continued in this document handed over to the government on 27 July.
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Indicators on the rise these last days
in recent weeks, the authorities warn of a possible worsening of the situation, in the light of indicators up for almost three months after the end of containment. The week of 20 to 26 July, the number of new confirmed cases in France has experienced a large increase, 54% (5592 total), and the bar of the 1000 new cases per day has been exceeded, stressed on July 30, the health care agency public Health France in his last week.
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In addition, the number of patients with Covid-19 hospitalized in the intensive care unit has increased by 13 cases since Friday (384 in total), breaking with the downward trend observed since April, according to the last point daily of the Directorate-general of Health (DGS) released Monday evening. To head off a second wave of the epidemic, the scientific Council request the authorities to put in place of the “prevention plans”, focusing in particular on the biggest cities.
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“Covid-19”, the new coronavirus
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He also points to “delays” in the strategy of test, trace and isolate positive cases. It thus recommends to improve “access to test” screening, in which lead times are currently too long due to a high demand. Finally, in a second separate opinion, the scientific Council proposes stricter controls on travellers arriving from countries “at risk”, with tests of their departure or their arrival and a quarantine of 14 days.
