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– If it rains on election day, then it is actually more and not fewer voices, ” says Jo Thori Lind, professor at the Economic institute, university of Oslo.
Lind has looked more closely at what happens with voter turnout if it rains on election day.
Photo: Su Thet Mon / NRK
He has collected statistics for rainy days in the municipalities and electoral turnout for Norwegian municipal elections from 1970 to 2007.
By comparing the two sets of data from year to year and remove possible sources of error such as political scandals, he could see a pattern between turnout and the rain.
According to the professor, it’s not because more show up to vote when it is ugly weather, but because fewer meet up when the weather is nice.
– If there is bright sunshine and you are the medium concerned by politics, so you will have the choice between standing in line at the valglokalet or go for a walk in the woods or on the beach. Then prioritize some maybe a more fun activity in the sun, ” says Lind.
– Høyresida serve on the rain
Turnout in a number of municipalities increases by a percentage point if it rains on election day, shows the numbers to Jo Thori Lind.
the Rise is often to the advantage of the høyresida.
the Analysis shows that the right wing-voters are most affected by the weather. Those times when it rains and the voter turnout increases, you often see the left side a decrease on the corresponding percentage points, ” explains Lind.
Even a percentage point can play a big role for policy in the municipalities.
– one prosentpoenget can mean everything for the municipalities on the teeter-totter. There shall not so much before a party will win or that they can get an extra representative in the municipal council, ” says Lind.
Are you still unsure on what to vote, so the ranks to take a quick round with valgomaten to see what parties you most agree with.
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the Weather on election day has not something to say for friends of Jon Bugge Mariussen.
– I’m interested in politics and cares me a lot. So I intend to vote on election day. It comes I enough to make no matter if it rains or not, ” says Mariussen.
the Last time there was election, he ran namely in the rain to number of valglokalet before closing time.
Everyone in the gang is surprised to find that the rain actually get more people to vote, and not the least of which parties who serve on it.
All the friends are surprised at the conclusion that the rain actually get more people to vote. From right: Jon Bugge Mariussen, Amalie Beate Myhre, Emma Öberg, Ola Helgesplass Martinsen, and Anne Halonen.
Photo: Su Thet Mon / NRK So is the weather
the Weather is tremendously important for the norwegians. It amazes me that the weather can affect turnout, ” says statsmeteorolog Kristian Gislefoss.
After a few quick searches in the map data-the program on PC-a, Gislefoss the answer to what we all wonder.
Parts of the west coast of Norway, S ørlandet and the Eastern regions are particularly exposed to rain*
Møre and Romsdal and Trøndelag release a little easier away. It’s not wet on the legs, but it can be a bit of rain in the air in Møre and Romsdal*
It will rain in many places in Nordland. In Troms it will be nice weather earlier in the day, but they want to see a little rain late in the evening*
Finnmark looks likely to get a fine weather. While in Longyearbyen, waiting that it is precipitation in the form of sleet and snow*
* This information is based on weather data that was checked 05.09.2019.
– however, It is difficult to see on the map who is going to win the election. We have enough let the votes decide, smiles Gislefoss.
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