According to the current survey for the state election in Saxony, the AfD can overtake even the CDU. The SPD, a new historic low, threatening value.
Dresden – Before the Landtag election in Saxony, the projections show a tight race at the top. According to the polls, the AfD is close to the CDU, and might even be the strongest party, if at the 1. September, the new Parliament is elected. The SPD is threatening to a single-digit result of slipping and the Green pass is likely to come to the social Democrats. A special feature for Saxony, the strength of the Left is. She still has chances to become the third-strongest force.
Landtag election in Saxony, 2019: AfD again on its own survey-best value
Update from the 2. July: Still, the ruling CDU and the AfD head-to-lie-to-head in the free state of Saxony. The right-wing populists do not seem to stabilize on a high level – they are even becoming stronger. A new survey by Infratest dimap for MDR showed a peak value for the AfD: 26 percent of you would choose. In a survey for the Leipziger Volkszeitung, the AfD in June of this came to 24 percent, in the case of an INSA poll for the Bild least 25 percent. Only once the AfD had so far, also, 26 percent In the April survey by INSA for the image.
The CDU can recover even a little. In the case of the June polls they had crashed to 24 per cent, now it is 26. However, this is still far behind the state election results of 2014, because the Union took almost 40 percent!
The Green are still for your Saxon ratios at 12 percent, had in June, but in other surveys, 16, or 14 per cent. Little movement is currently at the Left (15 per cent), SPD (9) and the FDP (5).
Thus, it is still completely open, as a new government in Saxony might look like. A possible four-Alliance against the AfD and the Left is not unlikely.
If you are still undecided of whom to the Landtag election in Saxony, you can use the Wahl-O-Mat, which can serve as a decision aid.
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Landtag election in Saxony, 2019: The CDU and the AfD are in the survey exactly equal
Update from 17. June 2019: A new survey suggests that the AfD still has chances to become the strongest party in the Landtag election in Saxony. The survey of the research Advisory Czaplicki on behalf of the Leipziger Volkszeitung identified the CDU and the AfD at 24 percent. Behind The Left (15 %), the Greens (14 %) and SPD with only 8 percent. The FDP would create, according to this forecast, with 6 percent of the catchment in the diet.
initial report of 14. June 2019: forecast in Saxony see that the AfD close at CDU
In a recent survey conducted by the opinion research Institute INSA on behalf of the image of the AfD gets more percentage points than the CDU. Accordingly, the Sunday question, 25 answered, of 1057 respondents with one voice for the AfD, the CDU received just 24 percent. The greens and the Left will follow, each with 16 percent, followed by the SPD (7 percent) and the FDP (6 percent).
Even a three Alliance of the CDU, the SPD and the Greens in Saxony so that there is currently no majority. Prime Minister Michael Kretschmer (CDU), which is one of the top candidates for the state election in Saxony, brought a coalition of four parties into the game. A coalition with the Left, or AfD, he rejects categorically. It can be difficult to bring to the Landtag election in Saxony, the parties in a government.
in addition to the AfD (up 15.5 percentage points compared to the last state election) would be the Greens is the biggest winner: 10.5 percentage points more would reach the eco-in Saxony.
39.4 percent of the votes received by the CDU at the last state election in Saxony. The year was 2014, and if you look at the recent results of the Union, one must speak of a different era. In the European elections in 2019, it was in Saxony, too clearly, that there is a big change in Parliament is looming. The AfD was 25.3 percent before the CDU (23 percent) as the strongest force.
The AfD will, therefore, be expected that also in the case of the state election and more on the Saxon ballots ticked. Of course, the letter choice at the state election in Saxony possible. You should only think for any kind of choosing it, the choice notification to cancel.
Landtag election in Saxony: The last polls
the Institute / dial
date
CDU
SPD
Green
FDP
Left
AfD
Freie wähler
Other
Infratest dimap
02.07.2019
26
9
12
5
15
26
3
4
the Leipzig people’s newspaper
15.06.2019
24
8
14
6
15
24
4
5
INSA
13.06.2019
24
7
16
6
16
25
4
2
Civey
13.06.2019
29,7
10,3
10,6
4,6
16,6
23,5
–
4,7
INSA
26.04.2019
28
10
9
6
16
26
3
2
Civey
16.04.2019
29,4
11,6
9,9
6,1
17,4
20,8
4,8
INSA
05.04.2019
28
9
9
6
17
25
6
state election 2014
31.08.2014
39.4 in
18,9
5,7
3,8
12,4
9,7
1,6
8,4
CDU 2017, in Saxony weak: Kretschmer took over for Tillich
during the Federal election in 2017, the CDU moved to a disappointing choice, the consequences in Saxony: After the CDU received only 26.9 percent of the second votes (AfD: 27.0 percent), the 2014 elected Prime Minister Stanislaw Tillich. Since December of 2017, his successor Michael Kretschmer ruled the state. The CDU has ruled in Saxony, in a Grand coalition with the SPD. The AfD was back then, even behind the SPD.
Also in Brandenburg, where also on 1. September, points to a difficult coalition formation. The current polls for the state election of Brandenburg 2019 indicate that Red-is the Red not a new majority.
A propos AfD: In the Saxon town of Görlitz, the chances were at times good, the party may, for the first time a Lord mayor.
one Hundred party, the AfD officials oppose the Thuringian AfD-Chairman and right-winger Björn Höcke. You accuse him of splitting tendencies and a “cult of personality”.
