The list of environmentalists led by Marie Toussaint is falling in the polls for the European elections. The fateful threshold of 5% is worrying.
They created a surprise in 2019 by winning 13.5% of the vote, obtaining 13 seats in the European Parliament. But this year, the European elections are enough to give French environmentalists a cold sweat. In a few weeks, the list of Europe Ecologie Les Verts (EELV) led by Marie Toussaint has fallen in the polls. To the point that, according to the Toluna-Harris Interactive barometer unveiled on Tuesday May 7, voting intentions for this list barely exceed the fateful threshold of 5%.
5% is the minimum percentage that a list must collect on June 9 to obtain deputies in the European Parliament. However, according to this new barometer, the Marie Toussaint camp receives 5.5% of voting intentions. The environmentalist camp finds itself in sixth position, tied with the Reconquest party led by Marion Maréchal. EELV lost half a point in one week, while the list was given at 8% in January.
Environmentalists mainly face competition from Raphaël Glucksmann’s camp: 21% of Yannick Jadot’s voters in the 2019 European elections thus declare their intention to vote for the Socialist Party/Public Square list on June 9. The list is also preceded by that of Manon Aubry for La France insoumise, given at 8.5%.
Not to mention that EELV is perhaps not at the end of its troubles: one month before the election, its potential voters appear less sure of their choice than those of the other camps. According to an Ifop poll from May 6, which gives 6.5% voting intentions to environmentalists, nearly a third (30%) of potential Marie Toussaint voters say they are not yet sure of their decision: an uncertainty which could still cause the list to lose nearly 2%, which would then fall below the eligibility threshold.
